The by-election is over. It was yesterday, in Seven Sisters, so I hope to have more time to blog again. Labour won (just) with the Tories second and David Schmitz for the Lib Dems third -but with a big increase in our vote.The dynamics of this election were one of the most interesting we've had in Haringey. The Tories were able to mobilise large numbers of voters in the Orthodox Jewish community to support their candidate from that area, in the south eastern part, largely through a campaign to sign up postal voters. Elsewhere in Seven Sisters, they seemed to have the impact of a ton of feathers.
Whatever you think of this sort of postal vote sign-up campaign, it undoubtedly produced a Tory vote that was a big, yet rather fixed, part of the equation. Most of the real competition for votes went on between Labour and the Lib Dems in the other 80 per cent of the ward.
Those in the know within Labour are probably worried. On the one hand. in the parts of the ward where the Tory vote wasn't much of a factor, I don't think the swing from Labour to the Tories (if there was any at all) was enough to gain the Tories a seat anywhere on Haringey council.
On the other hand, the swing from Labour to the Lib Dems in these parts of the ward was quite hefty - around 12-15 per cent, I'd guess. As far as the Council is concerned, with Labour holding six seats in Wood Green with tiny majorities last time, this would be more than enough to show them the door.
As the result came in, the Labour winner gave a bizarrely bombastic speech attacking the Lib Dems, and our wonderful candidate, David Schmitz. To any assembled journalists not familiar with the local dynamics, this must have seemed very odd, as David came third. We don't usually get this sort of thing at election counts in Haringey – especially as David had no right of reply. This new Labour councillor has a few bits of protocol to master.
But great work, David. I am bound to say it, but you would clearly have made by far the best councillor for Seven Sisters.
pic: Gladesmore Road, Seven Sisters, December 2008
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